Tuesday, December 30, 2008

I guess I can say I was right

I wondered what would happen if he did this all the way back on the 10th

NPR had both Jim Thompson and Jesse White agreeing that not signing the form would not be enough to stop anything.

On Rod's part this is a brillant move, seriously what does he have left to lose at this point. He might as well go down fighting, get removed from office and do his best to try and beat the federal rap.  If he manages to do that, he can run again and try to build off of a base of African American support.

You heard Bobby Rush today.  That is what it is going to become, it's Rod's last best hope.  Perhaps his only hope.  His hail Mary pass. 

If he is going to politically survive this (and I strongly suspect he thinks he can)  he has to do a complete slash and burn at this point.  He has to take out as much of the legislature as he can, look forward to awkward personal stuff to come out about memebers. 

He just flipped the entire general assmebly the bird and has made it clear he will do what needs to be done to win.   He will destroy state government if they let him all in a bid to save himself.

OneMan


Can you say 'Hubris'

20080509 25 Roland Burris Future Grave

Don't get me wrong, I don't really have a problem with Roland Burris as a public servant. However it takes something to build your own monument before you are dead.


Also isn't it trailblazer not trail blazer?

Trib Says he is going to appoint Burris...

Called it in part...

The Trib is reporting that Rod is going to name Roland Burris as replacement senator.


Let the freaking out begin.

Good luck not seating him BTW US Senate.

Monday, December 29, 2008

Some Suggestions for our Next Governor.

Pat, this is for you...

  • Start aggressively addressing the outstanding clemency requests
  • Come up with a comprehensive campaign finance solution for Illinois
  • Demonstrate you can work with the legislature
  • Be your own man
  • Reverse the Pontiac move and other stuff that Rod has done in the last year.
  • Learn from Rod's mistakes, seriously, Rod didn't learn from George's mistakes. Don't be a Rod.
  • Re-open the state parks and historical sites, even during hard times people need that stuff. 
  • You are going to have a bunch of people who are going to be your friends.   Remember to pick them wisely.
  • Grab a Republican or two who will disagree with you.

The Blagojevich Impeachment

I heard a good description of it the other day.

It's like a book that everyone knows how it starts and how it is going to end, it just coming up with a creditable middle that will take a little time.


You know

Saturday, December 27, 2008

Some laughs from Dave Barry.

The entire 2008 year in review by Dave Barry is funny but he shares some love on the Rod...

In other political news, federal authorities arrest Democratic Illinois Gov. Rod ''Rod'' Blagojevich after wiretaps reveal that he was . . . OK, that he was being the governor of Illinois. Everybody is very, very shocked.

Interesting.

The Beacon has a story that there will be no primary in any of the Aurora aldermatic races or the mayors race because there are not 5 or more candidates.  

The interesting part is that it makes it seems that if 2 write-ins had filled for the mayors race, we would have had a city wide primary...

If that is correct, I plan to call Monday and try and find out, then I think Stephanie missed a real oportunity to force a primary.

OneMan

Tuesday, December 23, 2008

From Letterman's Top Ten List

Top Ten Least Popular Stores at the Mall

-- Bed, bath and Blagojevich

Sunday, December 21, 2008

Over 5 years.

Ricks post about it being the 7th anniversary of his blog made me check how long I have been doing this.  It turns out a bit over 5 years.

Some highlights, my first Obama post (about him getting the IFT endorsement for senate before the primary and how it was a bad sign for Danny!)

My totally wrong prediction of a draft or super GI bill by now..

Blago's brilliant sponsership plan

January 2004, I predict an Obama win in the senate primary

In March of 2004 how I got a copy of 'Dreams of my Fathers (1st Ed)' for $15.90

Ahh memory lane.

Some MN Thoughts

Patric Ruffini over at The Next Right as a post about titled 'No More Minnesotas' about some changes he would like to see in elections and vote processing...

 

First let me lay out my background on this.  I have been a processing judge in two different election authorities (once in DeKalb county and several times in Aurora) I also have worked as the Republican observer for about 10 or 12 elections now in Aurora, that means that during the count if something comes up I try to work with my Democrat counterpart of develop a solution to resolve an issue, if that doesn't work we call the lawyers.  I have also poll watched and gone to polling places with 'issues' for several elections as well.  Also my wife has worked as an election judge several times.

 

I have worked elections with the old punch card system and with the current combination touch screen and fill in the oval systems.

From the post…

 

  • Full electronic voting with a paper trail audit. There's a reason Paul Carmouche didn't challenge a 356-vote margin in LA-4: because the voting was 100% electronic. Critics have made good points about the lack of a paper trail on many of these machines. But MN-SEN shows that optical scan ballots, preferable only to hanging chads, are not fulproof. While plenty of bugs have been demonstrated on e-voting machines, there's no evidence (to date) of actual votes being mis-counted or lost -- and a paper trail should greatly improve the detection and resolution of these issues in real time.
  •  All ballots counted within 72 hours. It shouldn't take weeks to count absentees and provisionals. Let's set a reasonable window for counting every vote -- like 72 or 96 hours -- understanding that this might be different in states that are largely vote-by-mail.
  • Zero tolerance for lost-and-found votes. Negligence in handling voted ballots should be made a misdemeanor offense at a minimum. Election officials should pay heavy fines and face removal for incidents like the 133 "lost" Minneapolis ballots. Heavy legal penalties should be a deterrent to "losing" ballots that are then "found" at conveninent points in a recount. 
  •  An open election results standard. I want this for other reasons, but a bunch of tech people should get together to formulate a standard for the reporting of real-time precinct election results in XML that also covers 1) reporting status of absentees and provisionals, and 2) historical precinct data, including notional numbers from census block counts for re-precincted areas. For all precincts, we should know how many voters are registered to get a real sense of voter turnout as well as how many people voted in this precinct in the last few elections. Practically, this means that the spotting of anomalies can be crowdsourced to the online community. If turnout seems abnormally high or low for a precinct, we can know in real time.

 

Full electronic voting with a paper audit trail:  

I like this one, however I suspect most voters don't. Here voters have a choice of either using a touch screen machine (that produces a paper audit trail) or filling in the ovals.  About 95% of the voters decide to fill in the ovals. Kane County has pure electronic voting and the county clerk has taken a lot of unfair heat for it.  With pure electronic voting you are subject to the full whims of technology.  

 

  • If any sort of issue occurs with the tech you have to wait for someone to come and deal with it, making folks wait. 

 

  • The odds of being able to find two election judges who could even be taught (remember you would need one from each party) to fix even the simplest issue are slim and none.

 

  • Also machines are not idea for dealing with the logical flow of voters (heavy early and late in the day) also that is an expensive hunk of equipment sitting around doing nothing 360 days of the year.

 

  • In Aurora if you early vote you generally vote on a touch screen.  You should hear the people complain about it, say it's part of a plot not to count your vote, etc.  The advantage of the 'fill in the oval' is you can deal with peak load better and faster.

 

All ballots counted within 72 hours.

 

Nice but again impractical.  We were not allowed to even start opening the absentee ballots until 7 PM on election day, we finished opening them (not counting them) at midnight or so.  During this time we had one person just checking signatures when it seemed signatures didn't match up.  At this point the election officials had been up for almost 20 hours.  Do you really want them to start dealing with this stuff with that little sleep? Also again with the provisionals it takes even longer because you need to figure out if the vote should be counted.

 

Zero tolerance for lost-and-found votes:

 

'Negligence in handling voted ballots should be made a misdemeanor offense at a minimum’ yeah good luck finding election judges after you institute that.  Sorry grandma you forgot to bring in one of cards from a machine, officer Bob would like to have a word with you.  Good luck with that.  Keep in mind election officials on Election Day are dealing with a vast majority of folks working the election who may do this a 3 times a year.  In your job would you want to be criminally responsible if someone below you screws up?  I don't think so.

 

An Open election standard

Also a really cool idea it's going to cost big time to upgrade election data systems to share this stuff in real time.  Also the who voted stuff gets processed much later so real voting turnout issues would not show up until much later.  Also most turnout issues have logical reasons for example a school referendum, tight local race, etc..

 

Now here are some of my thoughts on improving the process.

 

n       Attorneys would be required to work as election judges for at least one election a year. Make it a requirement for being a member of the bar, like continuing ed.  An educated set of election judges who would do it year after year would be invaluable.

 

n       Encourage employers to treat working an election like jury duty (also make it if you work as an election judge you can opt out of jury duty) including the option to get paid.

 

n       Make early voting really, really easy.  More locations, more hours whatever it takes.

 

n       Create teams of people from all parties (in our case Republican, Democrat and Green) who are trained and can deal with issues on the ground.

 

n       You know what, if you can use the National Guard somewhat (not in uniform).

 

Tight elections that cover a large area or a large number of voters are always going to some extent be an issue.  You can't really get to perfect on this, too may human variables.  

 

OneMan

Thursday, December 18, 2008

Today in Impeachment Land...

They kind of got to things that I think might the most effective stuff for getting the governor out office rather quickly...

I think Bill Holland was very effective and made his points well.  I think his stuff alone could get the governor removed from office....

OneMan

Wednesday, December 17, 2008

Thoughts on impeachment...

Well it sounds like tomorrow they are going to talk about JCAR and have Bill Holland talk about the various state audits that have occured during the Blagojevich administration.  Don't know how Ed Genson is going to deal with that, it's one thing to aruge like it is a court (when it isn't) when it comes to the federal stuff.  However don't know how you argue against Blagojevich being incompetent as governor.

Also the idea floated of challenging the state impeachment standard in Federal Court is a long shot at best in my opinion. I don't see the feds hearing a case about a state consitution. 

OneMan

Tuesday, December 16, 2008

Now here is a simple question...

If Congressman Jackson was talking to the feds about Gov. Blagojevich for years, why in the heck would he want that same man to appoint him to the US Senate?

If I thought someone was up to something that was going to get him in trouble the last thing I would want to do is count on that guy to move my political career forward.

-- to respond to the one commentor,  then perhaps you decided being appointed US Senator isn't worth the path you need to take.

Monday, December 15, 2008

Steve Lord at the Beacon goes off the deep end...

And suggest Linda Holmes for the senate vacancy...

One of the main reasons for her success is she is a tireless worker. She knows how to organize a grass-roots campaign and is willing to do what it takes to make it work -- which is to get out and meet voters face to face.
She also does her job in the Senate, and does it with an independent air. She has fought for approval of the new hospital in Plainfield, although that has caused some bad feelings among Aurora hospitals. Since she represents both Aurora and Plainfield, she had to choose what she thought was right.

Wow, where do I start with this.

Grass Roots... Meets with folks, face to face. You know I saw Terry Wintermute at least three times at the Rt 59 train station during this election cycle, I didn't see Linda Holmes once. She didn't even file her petitions for the primary on the first day of filing, grass roots campaigning my behind. How about her June D-2 that only showed two contributions from individuals neither of whom live in her district.

Independent Air... Was it that independent air that came through we she voted in favor of gaming expansion because Penn National said it was ok?

Perhaps it was her handling of the Indian Prairie quick take? Oh yeah that's right she didn't move it forward at all.

I mean come on, the Tribune, Sun Times and the Daily Herald all endorsed Terry Wintermute in November. Not really a sign that Linda was doing a heck of a job now is it?
The reason for her success is the tidal wave that overtook Republicans in this state. Nothing more, nothing less.
Yes I am a partisan Republican, but still. I can name valley Democrats who would make much better US Senators. Linda Chapa-LaVia for starters and Tom Weisner would be much better picks among local Democrats. 





Illinois House Does Nothing to Prevent Blagojevich from Appointing A Senator.

After today our governor could still appoint a US Senator since the state house did nothing to stop or change that.

Yes kids the big call early last week from a host of people including Richard Durbin for a special election went for naught as the legislature failed to act on any change to the filling of a US Senate vacancy.  Ironically this was the reason the legislature was called into session, not to start an impeachment proceeding.

""No appointment by this governor under these circumstances could produce a credible replacement," Durbin said.

Guess what, the Illinois state house and senate decided to take a pass on their moment of courage and instead decided not to give what 66% of the folks in Illinois want
and instead decided to avoid the risk of giving the people of Illinois a choice.

Sunday, December 14, 2008

Sneed mentions another senate option

You know you figure she would try and avoid this now.. But here it is.
Is Chris Kennedy, the son of the late, great U.S. Sen. Robert F. Kennedy, a possible entrant on the list to fill Presidentelect Barack Obama's Senate seat?

• To wit: Sneed hears Kennedy's name has been wafted into the inner circle of Lt. Gov. Pat Quinn, who would be the guy who chooses Obama's replacement if Gov. Blagojevich resigns


Oh please, please, please Pat, give us Chris Kennedy, east coast prep school, Stroger transition team leader (according to wikipedia) merchandise mart president. He will play really, really well downstate in two years also great in the collars.  Heck tie him to Stroger and he will even play well in Cook County.

Also nothing like replacing a US Senator who became president in one of those truly American stories about how hard work, education and determination can lead to great heights in this country with a guy who was born into wealth and a political dynasty. 

Heck he might be a decent senator, I just think we could beat him in two years when it came re-election time. 

OneMan

Some Impeachment Reality..

Please keep in mind I am not an attorney

From Article IV of the Illinois State Constitution (the bolding is mine)
SECTION 14. IMPEACHMENT
The House of Representatives has the sole power to
conduct legislative investigations to determine the existence
of cause for impeachment
and, by the vote of a majority of
the members elected, to impeach Executive and Judicial
officers. Impeachments shall be tried by the Senate. When
sitting for that purpose, Senators shall be upon oath, or
affirmation, to do justice according to law. If the Governor
is tried, the Chief Justice of the Supreme Court shall
preside. No person shall be convicted without the concurrence
of two-thirds of the Senators elected. Judgment shall not
extend beyond removal from office and disqualification to
hold any public office of this State. An impeached officer,
whether convicted or acquitted, shall be liable to
prosecution, trial, judgment and punishment according to law.
(Source: Illinois Constitution.)

Note first what is missing. There is no high crimes provision. As Rich Miller points out since impeachment is a political process you can in fact impeach someone for crossing with the light. It doesn't even seem like the House of Reps even really needs to do an investigation. It seems like there a no real rules for a trial.  The house could impeach on Monday just for the JCAR 

For example Governor Evan Mecham of Arizona was indicted on January 8th, 1988 and by January 15th, 1988 a report was filed with the State House and by February 8th they had impeached him, by April 4th he was removed from office. (Less than three months).

From the Arizona State Constitution (Article 8 Part 2 Section 2)
2. Conviction; grounds for impeachment; judgment; liability to trial

Section 2. No person shall be convicted without a concurrence of two-thirds of the senators elected. The governor and other state and judicial officers, except justices of courts not of record, shall be liable to impeachment for high crimes, misdemeanors, or malfeasance in office, but judgment in such cases shall extend only to removal from office and disqualification to hold any office of honor, trust, or profit in the state. The party, whether convicted or acquitted, shall, nevertheless, be liable to trial and punishment according to law.


They have a high crimes and misdemeanors or malfeasance clause... We don't.  

Again you could impeach on Monday on JCAR alone, I would personally suggest you do it. Out of respect for our state and our nation we need to end this circus now.

Come on, with everything that is been going on with this guy even before Fitzmass I figured someone somewhere had a 'we need to impeach Rod now' plan on the shelf someplace.

OneMan

So does he step aside this week?

I still think we will not just out and out resign because he needs the paycheck and with his problems Patti will be persona-non-grata when it comes to real estate or her investment work and it has to be a challenge for her fund raising/development work.

The other problem is if he steps aside he can step back in at any time. It may slow up the impeachment process a bit, but it will not stop it.

OneMan

It's like you have a proceding hairline...

Really....

Friday, December 12, 2008

One last one for tonight a couple of Rod Photos

The Two Elvises


I suspect they will let him keep this

Best Search that led to this site yesterday...

Does rod Blagojevich wear a wig?

No, buddy that's his own hair...

11 Other ways Rod was going to try and profit off of the Senate seat...

From Culture 11

My favorite...

10) Blackmailing Illinois voters: "Either you send me $5 million or I appoint Alan Keyes."

Some I came up with

-- Creating a new Lottery game
-- Offer it as a premium for using the new HOV lanes
-- Leasing it to a private investor group
-- Blair Hull
-- If Friends of Blagojevich does not get 10 million dollars, hello Senator Ayers
-- If Friends of Blagojevich does not get 10 million dollars, hello Senator T


OneMan

Rods Debt

They owe almost a million dollars just on his home and his DC condo.

Wow, 4x their rough annual earnings.

Under the heading of things I never thought I would write in my lifetime..

Remember there is a difference between too crazy to be Governor and too crazy to be not guilty by reason of insanity.

Thursday, December 11, 2008

Letterman & McCain on Blago

Dave: He is either stupid or nuts
McCain: Perhaps he is that rare combination of both

McCain also pointed out that Blagojevich came to him after he was elected governor and talked about how he was a reformer and he wanted to follow McCains example...

Letterman also said Blagojevich should resign.

A sign that the British Press can stretch things a bit...

From the Daily Mail...

Here's former Police Academy star Steve Guttenberg after he let our cameras go backstage at the Churchill theatre in Bromley where he's currently starring in Cinderella.
It's the first time the 50-year-old Hollywood legend has appeared in pantomime and he's swapping roles in the likes of Three Men And A Baby, Cocoon and Short Circuit to star as Baron Hard-up in the Surrey town


Yeah, Steve Guttenberg, Hollywood legend...

Channel 2 is Reporting...

That Blaog is at least considering resigning..

Not sure if I am buying it but we will see.

Interesting they only name Fritchey by name on the memo in the video story...

Wednesday, December 10, 2008

So he spent 8 hours at the Thompson Center Today

Any bets that he spent 6 of it playing solitare and the rest looking for listening devices...

If he had been thinking he would have done this stuff down at the mansion because lord knows they would have never thought of putting a bug down there.

From Letterman tonight

-- The economy is so bad governor Blagojevich had to mark down the price of senate seat 40%

-- He was hiding bribes in his hair.

-- He was charged with one count of Blagojeviching

-- I hope this doesn't tarnish the fine reputation of Illinois politics

Yes he is Jagoff


Somewhere Bill Shaw is smiling

With the revelations about JJJ perhaps being Senate Candidate 5.

A posible workaround...

Well what if the governor appointed a 'senior Democratic statesman' like Neil Hartigan or Alan Dixon or Rolland Burris or Dawn Clark Netsch or Bill...

You could likely get one of those folks seated...

OneMan

Tuesday, December 09, 2008

A T-Shrit idea

Shirts that say, 

Senate Candidate 1
Senate Candidate 2, etc...

Great for parties.

A bunch of questions out of today's charges-

With the charges on Governor Blagojevich some questions come up.


-- What impact does this have on the 2016 Olympic bid. Major final bid documents are going to be due during the time before any trial and the vote and consideration may match up with a trial.

-- There is talk they may get his competency judged by the state supreme court. Is he in fact, nuts?

-- If the house and senate pass a quickie law to change how a US Senate vacancy is filled, will he sign it? Will he sit on it for 60 days then veto?  Will he still try and fill the seat?

-- What happens if he names a replacement senator tomorrow?

-- Can the house impeach just using the  'impeachment memo' that the house democrats put together?

-- Will the house go for an impeachment? If so when?

-- Can the governor even remotely at this point, govern?

I suspect he is going to fight every step of the way, if the motivation we seem to see in the criminal complaint is accurate, he will hold on for as long as he can, because without the governorship he has nothing...

In better times it might be interesting to watch this, during times like we are having now, not so much.






First, why this all makes me a bit sad...

Well because when it comes down to it, stuff like what Blagojevich is charged with puts a taint on everyone who is involved with politics. Good

That makes me a bit sad, but mostly pissed.

Well I am home and the internet is fixed...

Anything happen today :-)

This is going to be a problem for the olympic bid.

If you were an IOC member would you vote for a city where a senior government offical that governs the city bidding for the games was accused of this stuff? Keep in mind the past corruption that the IOC is still trying to distance themselves from as well. The last thing they want is more taint.

With the review and bid stuff happening during the summer of next year (along with a major bid document being due in Feb) we are looking at the real chance of a Blagojevich trial falling during this window.

If he is still in office and being tried before the selection date on 10-2-09 then I would think the bid is hosed.


OneMan

I knew this was coming, it's still sad.

So Blagojevich was arrested today. It's not like we didn't see that coming.

But trying to sell the open senate seat? How freakin dumb is that.

It seems like they have him on tape. Suffice to say if we want a US Senator to replace Obama before the trial is over the leg will have to go into session and impeach the governor.

I would argue they need to do that now, assuming they can go into session on their own since they are sine die for the session.

Sunday, December 07, 2008

Sorry Eric, your wrong

Zorn has a piece about Amy Jacobson and talks about how she deserves a 'pardon from her past'

I think some of what gets written about her situation comes from a 'there but for the grace' perspective which is understandable.  

However this part of her original lawsuit should scare the heck out of any journalist.

Jacobson's lawsuit initially named as defendants CBS-2, Stebic's neighbor Tracy Reardon, and Weldon, the journalism professor. (The claims against Weldon were later folded into the claims against CBS-2; she is no longer being sued individually.)

The idea that someone who offered an opinion to a reporter about a subject could later get sued seems like it would have a chilling effect on anyone offering a professional opinion.  I guess I don't understand why the journalists havent talked about that.


It's kind of sad to see this in the town where I grew up.

I still don't understand why a town of  25,000 people needs an inspector general. 


When I was a kid the politics of Dolton were not even remotely this rough and tumble, why?  Well I think in large part it was because the spoils of winning were not remotely worth it.  It was a small suburb (more Republican when I was a kid).  Now it seems to be the center of some sort of political power structure that people seem to think is worth a lot of effort to maintain.

I have been around the process long enough to understand that the spoils of office are obviously worth it in the eyes of some and I know enough about what goes on now in the area where I grew up to understand that these battles are part of a much larger picture.

That all being said, how in the heck does any of this help anyone in Dolton. The simple fact is it doesn't and that is what depresses me about all of this.





Wednesday, December 03, 2008

Something to keep in mind when trying to figure out who our governor is going to pick to replace Obama

Is that a rational actor model in fact requires, well rational actors. Our governor is not a rational actor. So when you read the national punditocracy try and apply logic to what the governor is trying to do, remember the governor at his core at this point is not logical.

He is the guy who would call a draw play on 4th and 35...

If you want some examples....

A) State has a huge budget problem, he just closed a bunch of state parks but decides to take the state aircraft to a governors meeting the next week.

B) Has referred to the senate seat as a Christmas gift.

C) Has named one candidate Danny Davis even referring to him as senator. The same Danny Davis that crowned the Rev. Sun Myung Moon in a religious ceremony.


The list goes on and on....

He took the the state aircraft.

To Philly to the governor's conference. Close a bunch of state parks because we have no money, but to heck with flying commercial I will take the state aircraft.

Is it posible to be that politically tone deaf? I guess it is.

Bet that will make a great story along with how the state is so late paying local school districts.