Thursday, November 16, 2017

The Tesla Semi and Other Electric Semi Trucks Are Going to Screw Up Road Budgets.

So the electric semi truck from Tesla and others are coming shortly.  There is a host of advantages to this technology coming out now, obviously, the reduction in pollution, improved safety features, reduction in noise are all going to be advantages.

However what happens to state and local transportation budgets when tax revenues from commercial diesel fuel sales start to decrease?  

Here are just some of the tax/local revenue impacts of this technology
  • Reduced fuel taxes going into the road fund.
  • Reduced fuel sales at local truck stops and gas stations selling commercial diesel
  • Reduced video gaming revenue for local municipalities and the state of Illinois.  The largest revenue video poker locations are almost all truck stops.  
  • Reduced ancillary revenues at truck stops, if you don't have to stop at a truck stop to fuel up you don't go in to buy stuff.
  • Reduced revenues from taxes on ancillary truck supply and maintenance spending.  If it is like the electric cars, they are not going to need to get oil changes.   

You are either going to have to tax these trucks on a per-mile basis or figure out some sort of way to make up for the motor fuel tax losses.  There is some time before these become wide scale, 2022 perhaps, when it happens (and it is going to happen because of the lower project cost per mile) it is going to be a significant change to how good are moved over medium distances in this country.

Monday, August 14, 2017

A Post I Think I Need To Repeat

Monday, December 07, 2015

It's Not Me, It's You...

Dear Republican Party.

If a candidate who says we need to keep people of any race, creed, gender or sexuality out of our country is taken seriously as a candidate at the national level I really can't identify with that party in any way shape or form anymore.  I realize there have been local folks who have had these ideas for quite some time, but it isn't that hard to find idiots at the local level in virtually any group, be it political party or organization.

That being said, when you are considering a national leader who think that, you have to count me out. I don't care how popular the idea might, how well it may poll or help someone in the polls.  We all have our limits and you have hit mine.

I know I have commented in the past that politics isn't church and it is about winning not about being 'pure'.

But I can't nor do I want to self identify with any group who has a leader who thinks crap like this is good policy or morally right.

Sunday, June 04, 2017

Chris Kennedy On Sunday Spin...

Some thoughts and observations about what Chris Kennedy had to say on Sunday Spin...

The audio is here and it starts at the 38-minute mark...

He starts out by making some good points about remedial education....

Then he says basically the Trump voter comes from our high school education process, where kids are undereducated.  Would like to see some sort of Illinois correlation between bad HS education and voting patterns, not sure you are going to see that in this state.

His next point...
Enormous wealth disparity was created in the 80s, where the rich live near the rich and the poor live near the poor.

Mr. Kennedy, that didn't start in the 80s, that started way before the 80s at least here in Illinois, the North Shore has been significantly wealthier than the south suburbs for a  long time.  You sound a bit silly when you say stuff like that.  Property tax disparity is not something that magically came about during the 80s...

General observation, you can hear him breathing on mic, he needs to work on that.

He goes hard on the property tax system and makes a lot of sense.

Did he move here to deal with the Merchandise Mart, he talks about all of these other reasons he came to Illinois, but not that one.  But later references the Mart.

Nice of Kennedy to help the GOP write some ads about Pritzker.  Interesting using the word 'sick' when talking about Pritzker's conversation with Rod.

You can be a billionaire and have customers and may have worked for others, Mr. Kennedy.

I am a person of means but not a mean person...  Not bad...

Rick asks a very interesting question, is the Kennedy magic generationed out, has too much time passed?

Chris, if you are really worried about workman's comp costs, odds are you not looking to put an office in the Merchandise Mart.

Tuesday, May 30, 2017

Kennedy Gets It Right....

So Kennedy went full on property taxes and politicians who work the property tax system....

I think it is a very, very smart play here is why,

The Democratic front-runner (and the guy running ads now) made the house next door to his uninhabitable by removing the toilets and then got a property tax break.  When third party ads start running, Pritzker is going to get slammed for this and it is going to work.

If Pritzker survives this attack (and I suspect he will) it will still be all set up for Rauner to go.

Because property taxes are something most voters understand and may be the tax they feel the most 'jerked over' about an income tax or a sales tax is easily understandable and stays relatively consistent over time. The rates are fairly consistent, but your property taxes show up on a bill that is different each year with a variety of line items.  It is a confusing bill, perhaps intentionally, perhaps not, but it is confusing.

I think really keying in on that part of the tax system is a smart political idea. The concept that the system is loaded against you the 'average guy' is not that hard of a sale because of the complexity of the property tax system and the idea that the person who has the same house as you two blocks away might be paying a significantly different amount of tax.

The $15 Minimum Wage

So we had an advisory referendum on a $10 an hour 2 years ago, it passed and then the Democrats didn't advance it before Rauner took office....

Now they vote for a $15 an hour minimum wage 2 years later because...

Because they know that Rauner will veto it and if using it the minimum wage to get enough people to the polls didn't work maybe this will.

The entertaining and highly unlikely option is that Rauner signs it, calls their bluff as it were because while it might be popular with unions and some groups, it is likely not to play as well with business interests and it isn't going to play well at all with small businesses, especially those in rural areas.

Thursday, May 04, 2017

When You Sign An Executive Order About Religious Freedom..

If the ACLU decides not to file suit you likely didn't go that far...

Just a thought, people who are fans of limited government should be fans of entities like the ACLU, Institue for Justice or other groups or entities that ask the question "Is this something government is allowed to do". Regardless if you agree or disagree with what they are challenging,  it is important and necessary to ask the question, constantly.

Tuesday, April 04, 2017

Well It Looks Like Richard is Going to be Our New Mayor

Blogged about Richard's first run back in 2005,,, A lot has happened since then, including a surprising result of the primary for the race for mayor this time around (I really thought it was going to end up Richard vs Linda)...

Richard is a good guy and I have given him money in the past.

I will say it is a bit disappointing that 7,547 votes can get you elected mayor of a city of 200,000 people.

Sunday, December 18, 2016

A Primary....

Fundamentally a primary helps every candidate besides Linda.  She has the best name recognition and has raised the most money (with the potential to raise more) a single round helps her significantly more than anyone else. Turnout in general in this race is going to be low so name recognition is going to be helpful, she can take full advantage of her money advantage.

 If you are any other candidate your best bet is to get into a one on one round with Linda where those advantages she has are mitigated.

You can force a primary with 5 candidates, this includes write-in candidates so if you want to force a second round it isn't that hard. You just need to get one or two folks to run as write-in candidates and you have a second round.

I fully expect that we will have two rounds.

Really Guzman...

The Beacon had some more about petitions and primaries and the like for the mayor's race in Aurora.

I would suggest you read the article, but it appears that Guzman offered some assistance to get someone else on the ballot (which would force a primary).  The nature of that assistance is what the question and discussion is about.

We are going to start here

Guzman responded Saturday by calling Chapa LaVia's allegations "ludicrous and politically motivated" and said she picked on del Bosque's petitions "knowing that he did not have the money, resources or connections to enter into an expensive and protracted legal process."

Thanks to election commission you can see his filing here. You need 439 valid signatures to be on the ballot, he submitted 57 pages with 14 lines on each page so that would be a potential maximum of 798 (the most you can submit is 703), it looks like 662 lines were filled out and not scratched out. Some of these are going to have issues (I saw one Warrenville for example).  But he may very well have enough valid signatures.

But then

Chapa LaVia's campaign has contended that Guzman and his campaign helped collect petition signatures for del Bosque, then had them notarized incorrectly without the actual petition passers present. Chapa LaVia's campaign referred to that as "fraud."

Found more on this rule explicitly in Colorado, but I did find this from a candidate in Illinois also something along the same lines from Frerichs campaign here.
You must sign as the circulator of the petition before a Notary Public licensed in Illinois and the Notary Public must affix his/her seal or stamp
That's kind of what a Notary does.  So if this did happen that is an issue, if it didn't happen I don't see why you would incur an expensive legal battle you would just need to testify.

Guzman even offers a defense

n Saturday, Guzman released a statement saying that while he did help del Bosque, "in no uncertain terms" was fraud committed. He also said neither he nor any campaign workers or volunteers circulated petitions for del Bosque. He also said Illinois case law clearly allows petitions to be notarized without the petition passer present "if the circulator believes that they are under oath when they sign their name to the petition attesting that they personally collected the signatures on the form."
Then share the case law with the dude and help him out.  It isn't that complicated...

It's the second largest city in the state man, this isn't nor should it be patty cake.